Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.629503 0.814750 1.024291 1.275883 1.566800 1.889806 2.272702
2025-05-04 0.360701 0.581796 0.867026 1.248129 1.730445 2.307835 3.038348
2025-05-11 0.198762 0.413698 0.733059 1.206053 1.854347 2.680033 3.778903
2025-05-18 0.114743 0.315346 0.658725 1.216681 2.033911 3.126631 4.637158
2025-05-25 0.058164 0.227822 0.569656 1.180957 2.135345 3.469482 5.376447
2025-06-01 0.035092 0.191637 0.553294 1.248814 2.385252 4.022921 6.416299
2025-06-08 0.017089 0.148278 0.506587 1.253718 2.534418 4.437939 7.281876
2025-06-15 0.010178 0.132385 0.511266 1.346923 2.825550 5.067387 8.463677
2025-06-22 0.004976 0.112433 0.498488 1.403167 3.057489 5.616761 9.548145
2025-06-29 0.001795 0.091293 0.473270 1.428891 3.236940 6.091591 10.537731
2025-07-06 0.000255 0.066906 0.425530 1.398009 3.313160 6.408291 11.304642
2025-07-13 0.000009 0.053013 0.402607 1.414888 3.471540 6.854752 12.269514
2025-07-20 NaN 0.041079 0.379860 1.430308 3.632187 7.317757 13.283294
2025-07-27 NaN 0.027278 0.336220 1.386581 3.678389 7.598965 14.033950
2025-08-03 NaN 0.016799 0.293632 1.334456 3.701731 7.841265 14.730192
2025-08-10 NaN 0.011798 0.275205 1.342273 3.841617 8.278931 15.733391
2025-08-17 NaN 0.006680 0.242946 1.302244 3.880040 8.545879 16.477731
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005652 0.247481 1.373786 4.152907 9.217933 17.864561
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003528 0.231865 1.378519 4.284497 9.650660 18.884230
2025-09-07 NaN 0.003342 0.244475 1.477635 4.622688 10.448206 20.490710
2025-09-14 NaN 0.002612 0.245364 1.537391 4.878092 11.107109 21.887836
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001695 0.237256 1.564695 5.063564 11.647692 23.105483
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000690 0.213808 1.531787 5.112963 11.949098 23.946356